Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.038021 2.321958 2.634184 3.003482 3.428996 3.904659 4.477730
2025-11-23 1.630462 2.006462 2.455273 3.032487 3.758072 4.643740 5.812551
2025-11-30 1.424523 1.867555 2.433422 3.213874 4.269726 5.658919 7.642306
2025-12-07 1.242155 1.716651 2.358044 3.296500 4.648185 6.545197 9.445514
2025-12-14 1.072618 1.550107 2.227427 3.269967 4.855108 7.208464 11.029779
2025-12-21 0.919853 1.381578 2.064444 3.162978 4.914507 7.647351 12.329391
2025-12-28 0.855281 1.332484 2.066857 3.299343 5.356566 8.724975 14.806812
2026-01-04 0.796715 1.283322 2.059858 3.414812 5.774282 9.814803 17.477825
2026-01-11 0.738415 1.226172 2.030848 3.486102 6.121504 10.826912 20.171711
2026-01-18 0.684284 1.168719 1.992928 3.534094 6.429398 11.806033 22.960397
2026-01-25 0.618653 1.083525 1.896577 3.463213 6.505591 12.360581 25.001634
2026-02-01 0.552153 0.989317 1.773289 3.325781 6.433547 12.613736 26.457897
2026-02-08 0.505609 0.928249 1.706789 3.294593 6.578995 13.347169 29.131068
2026-02-15 0.461001 0.866158 1.631812 3.237925 6.666464 13.978509 31.709710
2026-02-22 0.445619 0.858318 1.659973 3.393574 7.222942 15.701539 37.161438
2026-03-01 0.422243 0.832052 1.648494 3.464425 7.604909 17.098125 42.111097
2026-03-08 0.390768 0.785992 1.591549 3.429460 7.742601 17.951933 45.862154
2026-03-15 0.355282 0.727971 1.503434 3.314028 7.676067 18.306451 48.369414
2026-03-22 0.345348 0.722849 1.527223 3.456165 8.247091 20.326045 55.869189
2026-03-29 0.334156 0.713769 1.541225 3.577002 8.783773 22.349389 63.838289
2026-04-05 0.320202 0.697108 1.536381 3.651705 9.214189 24.165925 71.612214
2026-04-12 0.305573 0.677421 1.522447 3.702052 9.588348 25.893595 79.517505
2026-04-19 0.283982 0.639592 1.462221 3.627506 9.613890 26.642891 84.452112